Thursday, August 18, 2022

The election results are announced but uncertainty continues

The election went off quite peacefully, though the waiting for the result was agony. Anyway, eventually after 6 days of an eerie atmosphere when schools were closed and few people were out (though everything was open) and which was potentially the calm before the storm, a result was announced. And the biggest violence to take place during the election took place in the actual election results center, which was only attended by politicians, diplomats and the like!

Without going into any details, we now continue waiting whilst the loser goes to court to argue their case of fraud somewhere in the process. The uncertainty is not great for the country, and it could go on for a much longer time if the court agrees and orders for a re-count, re-run or something else. Still, when the result came out there were barely any protests or violence; just a few people burning a few tires on a few streets in the entire country. That didn't stop some international media showing a photo of one of those incidents and implying it was typical and widespread.

The election uses technology in a strange way. When a voter goes to vote they prove their identity with a fingerprint in a machine (which they had already registered on previously), though as a backup they could just search the database for their ID number, which is to try to ensure people can only vote once. Then they get given a voting paper, mark it and drop it in a box. Later the papers are taken out of the boxes and counted with the numbers tallied into a form, in view of the agents of the relevant parties who (if they are there, and there are 40,000+ polling stations) could confirm that what is written on the form is correct.

Then a picture is taken of that form and sent to Nairobi, though it is a bit irrelevant since Nairobi would only use the paper form once it gets to Nairobi (potentially a few days later). Anyway, in theory it should stop anyone changing the form once it leaves the polling station and arrives in Nairobi; and also means that since the pictures are made public online, anyone can download them and count the results. There are still plenty of ways someone could intervene in the whole process to commit fraud, and this might be what we will find out during the court case. Either way, it is not likely that the use of technology will have been the issue (rather the issue could be the paper votes in the box, the counting of the paper votes, the marking of the totals on the form etc). 

In 2017 when the loser went to court and won, annulling the initial election, one of the issues the court was concerned about was the computers that collected the results (hence this time photos of the forms were sent and made public to bring more transparency to that part of the process, and the counting was all done manually based on numbers written on forms).

Meanwhile everyone is back at the office, the whole thing is a constant source of chatter alongside the parliamentary going ons (it is only the Presidential vote that is counted in Nairobi, and thus disputed, the counting of votes for parliamentary positions at local levels is sort of taken as final, I believe).

And the weather might just be starting to warm up again, marking the end of the cold, dry season!

Tuesday, August 09, 2022

The usual summer UK vacation

Another Summer, another holiday with the family, though this time in a slightly different part of the UK; hopefully next time we can travel to more exciting places, but still, for kids, a week in East Anglia is an easy option, especially when the weather is hot and you can go to the beach. Although from my run along the beach, from what i saw much of it was not that great apart from the tiny stretch in front of where we were staying at Pontins Pakefield. There the beach is wonderful (the sea is still quite cold though). On my morning run i saw a machine in Pakefield churning over the stones on the beach there, and I saw the little beach huts that seem to be all over the country, and the pier with a couple of shops and a statue (and a lifeboat station).

Aside from the beach, as it common across the country, there are always things you can do of varying degress of interest to different people. In this case we had a trip to the Southwold Maize Maze (i.e. a maze made out of maize, aka. corn) which was made more fun by having a sort of treasure hunt of information boards/colors to find throughout the maze, and that also had a nice playground with some jumping pillows, zip lines, sand pits, small vehicles to ride around on and of course the obligatory ice cream shop and cafe. Wonderful really, though funnily enough there seems to be a lot of maize mazes around the area, I wonder which was the first!

There was also the boat trip on the Norfolk Broads, a lowland area of rivers and canals that are a haven for wildlife. We chose to take a steam powered boat (the Falcon) from the Museum of the Broads which also included a trip around the museum, which had some activity sheets for the kids too. An hour was anough for the kids as there was not that much to see on the boat, but we did see some birds and some other boards! Nearby we also stopped off at the Barton Broads Boardwalk, which is a short 5-10 minute walk on a raised boardwalk that is quite nice for the kids.

Pontins is a sort of holiday village with fairly basic accommodation, an indoor pool, buffet/canteen style breakfast and dinner, daytime and evening entertainment for the kids, evening entertainment for the adults, crazy golf, a playground and other indoor and outdoor activities. It worked out alright, and is decent value since it is not so expensive. They do make an effort with the entertainment which is nice and the kids quite enjoyed it. It is easier for families than hotels or airbnbs with all the facilities on site and no need to cook, I suppose.

Back in North-West London we got to see our cousins for an afternoon, attend one of their birthday parties for another afternoon, go into London to see another spectacular show (101 Dalmatians) at the Regent's Park Open Air Theatre which i can't recommend highly enough, go on some walks in the woods, play and scoot at some playgrounds, and also splash around in the Princess Diana Memorial Fountain.

Throughout the trip Hannah and Leah spent a lot of time with their cousin Jake (and some time with baby Zach when he was awake), which was great whether it was on the beach, painting, baking, on scooters, at the playground or playing with toys. Though Leah had some issues when Jake and her had differing ideas of games to play with toys! We also ate way too much, especially deserts, but such are vacations....

I managed to meet up with some old friends in London, whilst Andrea and I went on a road trip up North to meet some old University friends (and some of their kids) and hike a bit in the Peak District (and have a Sunday Roast of course). One day we'll go to the Lake District, but it's just a bit far. I have such incredible memories of a trip there 20 years ago. Maybe it will be easier for the kids to come too as they get older and hopefully more willing to hike? If not we will have to be greateful to our parents for taking the kids for a weekend every now and again.

We did experience 40 degree heat in the UK whilst we were there, the highest temperatures ever recorded, and the greatest hysteria in the media about hot weather. Unfortunately it didn't work out to see any of the England Women play (and win) the European Championships live, but watching them on TV was great, and hugely impressed with the quality. And the fact they don't seem to dive or complain to the referees about every decision. Makes football much better to watch. So, until the next trip!

Election season

It is election day in Kenya, 5 years after the last election (though that election had a re-run a few months later after the first one was annulled by the court), and it is a relief that the election is finally here. It seems like campaigning began 4 years ago, as it is all the media focus on, though it did finally heat up earlier this year once the two coalitions were formalised. Kenya always has different coalitions of parties each time, and nothing really to do with policies, just different leaders from their parties deciding to work with other parties based on what they can get promised for their party if their coalition wins.

The streets are almost empty since it is a public holiday (to allow people to vote...voting takes 5-10 mins apparently, requiring putting fingerprints in a machine to prove identity or showing an identity card before filling in all six voting slips, and most people seem to enjoy queuing for hours early in the morning instead of coming later in the afternoon). In middle-class Nairobi there is the odd police officer outside the schools which serve as police stations, and cars parked along the roadside. In rural areas, people walk or take a motorbike; and in the slum areas of Nairobi there is a heavier police presence just in case.

Of course the international news tends to focus on risks of violence, because of how awful it was in 2007, but the last couple of elections have been calmer, with the police better prepared, and few Kenyans expect much violence this time... though any actual violence would come when the decisions are made (up to a week for the final decision on the president), rather than when actually voting. With both main coalitions having parties and candidates from multiple tribes/regions, there is less clearly a tribal dividing line between the two sides, which should reduce the risk for major violence. And as more Kenyans live in urban areas and marry/befriend those of other tribes it does seem that tribal preference is declining somewhat. My hairdresser says it is nice when people just use their first names rather than their family name (which would usually reveal what tribe someone is from).

Another reason for there possibly being a lack of violence is that many voters don't see a major difference between the parties (though there are some policy differences, with both sides having manifestos, the differences are more in tactics than in actual position or strategy, with both sides seeking to improve the lot of the unemployed or working class through different ways). Also many voters are somewhat skeptical of politicians in general, not expecting much to change whoever wins, and with the insane amounts of money spent on campaigns, everyone expects the winner to be corrupt in order to pay back bills or give financial backers jobs or contracts. Unfortunately parliament refused to pass a law that was proposed by the elections agency that would have limited campaign expenses. These are the same MPs that try to give themselves pay rises... and in fact the Central Bank of Kenya even believes that there are more low denomination notes in circulation during the election being used to pay for people to turn out to their rallies, or other reasons.

It is always a good sign in Africa when a sitting President retires at the end of their (two) terms, and Kenya gets commended for that, as well as a fairly orderly electoral process, a pretty free media and internet and many other things that are taken for granted in the West. So as much as there might be other issues (see previous paragraph!), there is still much that is good and if at least the tribal aspect of voting is becoming less influential and candidates actually have manifestos, that is real progress.

Another sign of progress is that one of the two main candidates has nominated a woman as his Deputy President, which really surprised many people and shook things up a bit when it was announced. She's also got quite a reputation as being a social justice campaigner and has stood up for what she stands for, apparently. Though there are also other less positive accusations against her. Still, in a society that is very male dominated (in fact there are so few women MPs that there are 47 MP positions that can only be filled by women, 1 per County, to ensure they have some representation in parliament), this could affect how women vote. I don't believe that gender has become a big issue more widely though, such as with any promises for how many of the cabinet would be women or anything, but a female Chief Justice was also appointed in the last couple of years.