Thursday, August 18, 2022

The election results are announced but uncertainty continues

The election went off quite peacefully, though the waiting for the result was agony. Anyway, eventually after 6 days of an eerie atmosphere when schools were closed and few people were out (though everything was open) and which was potentially the calm before the storm, a result was announced. And the biggest violence to take place during the election took place in the actual election results center, which was only attended by politicians, diplomats and the like!

Without going into any details, we now continue waiting whilst the loser goes to court to argue their case of fraud somewhere in the process. The uncertainty is not great for the country, and it could go on for a much longer time if the court agrees and orders for a re-count, re-run or something else. Still, when the result came out there were barely any protests or violence; just a few people burning a few tires on a few streets in the entire country. That didn't stop some international media showing a photo of one of those incidents and implying it was typical and widespread.

The election uses technology in a strange way. When a voter goes to vote they prove their identity with a fingerprint in a machine (which they had already registered on previously), though as a backup they could just search the database for their ID number, which is to try to ensure people can only vote once. Then they get given a voting paper, mark it and drop it in a box. Later the papers are taken out of the boxes and counted with the numbers tallied into a form, in view of the agents of the relevant parties who (if they are there, and there are 40,000+ polling stations) could confirm that what is written on the form is correct.

Then a picture is taken of that form and sent to Nairobi, though it is a bit irrelevant since Nairobi would only use the paper form once it gets to Nairobi (potentially a few days later). Anyway, in theory it should stop anyone changing the form once it leaves the polling station and arrives in Nairobi; and also means that since the pictures are made public online, anyone can download them and count the results. There are still plenty of ways someone could intervene in the whole process to commit fraud, and this might be what we will find out during the court case. Either way, it is not likely that the use of technology will have been the issue (rather the issue could be the paper votes in the box, the counting of the paper votes, the marking of the totals on the form etc). 

In 2017 when the loser went to court and won, annulling the initial election, one of the issues the court was concerned about was the computers that collected the results (hence this time photos of the forms were sent and made public to bring more transparency to that part of the process, and the counting was all done manually based on numbers written on forms).

Meanwhile everyone is back at the office, the whole thing is a constant source of chatter alongside the parliamentary going ons (it is only the Presidential vote that is counted in Nairobi, and thus disputed, the counting of votes for parliamentary positions at local levels is sort of taken as final, I believe).

And the weather might just be starting to warm up again, marking the end of the cold, dry season!

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